Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.7pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.08/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.40
+16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hamburg II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
30.08.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-1 HT 1-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
08.05.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 6-2 HT 2-2 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
14.04.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
26.04.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
25.09.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck nicked a narrow win over Hamburg II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.33 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburg II?

Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 51%, draw 26%, Hamburg II 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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