Belgrano Cordoba 4-0 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.82
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.65
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
16%
4.05
X/2
7%
8.05
X/X
17%
3.55
2/1
10%
33.5
2/2
9%
7.47
2/X
6%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.3pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
1.03/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.36
-25% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
24.4 Crosses 17.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.07 xG 0.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 206
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
20.02.2024 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 4-1 HT 3-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
25.09.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
04.04.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
20.11.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-2 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
06.03.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 3-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
4-0
AWAY CA Sarmiento
2.47 xG 0.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
273 Passes 241
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba cruised past CA Sarmiento 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Belgrano Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 53% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 47%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 2.47 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 0.50 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento?

Belgrano Cordoba 4-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 51%, draw 29%, CA Sarmiento 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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