Atletico Aldosivi 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.86
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
7%
5.16
X/2
10%
5.68
X/X
13%
3.52
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
22%
4.45
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.05/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.77
-13% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.5 Crosses 17.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.09 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 Passes 236
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 3-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
23.04.2025 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
17.06.2023 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
11.02.2023 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
06.04.2014 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
1-1
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
2.05 xG 0.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
189 Passes 347
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi and Independiente Rivadavia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Rivadavia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Aldosivi had 40% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 60%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.05 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Independiente Rivadavia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Atletico Aldosivi and 1.60 for Independiente Rivadavia.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Atletico Aldosivi 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 29%, draw 29%, Independiente Rivadavia 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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