Rosario Central 1-1 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
13%
5.87
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.72
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
11%
5.86
X/2
9%
5.12
X/X
21%
3.29
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.84
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 40%
+17% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -25%
1.28/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.87
+23% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.5 Crosses 21.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.74 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 278
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
04.02.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-2 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.08.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 3-1 HT 2-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
04.04.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
17.02.2019 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
31.10.2017 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-1
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.93 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
217 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central and Atletico Tigre couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Rosario Central had 43% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 57%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.93 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tigre led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rosario Central and 1.83 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Atletico Tigre?

Rosario Central 1-1 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 36%, draw 34%, Atletico Tigre 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rosario Central), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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