Anderlecht 1-3 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.66
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.51
6+ Goals
13%
5.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
18.4
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1
10%
10.4
X/2
16%
4.44
X/X
7%
6.94
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
32%
1.96
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.4 — our 7% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.6pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.0pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 62%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
0.93/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.99
-25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 83%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
17.4 Crosses 18.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.40 xG 2.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
302 Passes 439
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2026 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-2 HT 3-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
08.03.2026 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
09.11.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
18.05.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-3 HT 1-3 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
04.05.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
30.03.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
1-3
AWAY Club Brugge
1.48 xG 4.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
473 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge saw off Anderlecht 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Anderlecht had 60% of the ball to Club Brugge's 40%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 1.48 to 4.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Anderlecht and 2.17 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Club Brugge?

Anderlecht 1-3 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 27%, draw 18%, Club Brugge 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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