Lyngby 1-2 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
29%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
19%
4.13
X/2
7%
10.5
X/X
10%
5.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.1
2/2
8%
8.23
2/X
6%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
2.00/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.35
+35% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.5 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Hillerod
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.34 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
503 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2026 Hillerod Hillerod 1-3 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN1
28.11.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 1-0 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN1
19.08.2025 Lyngby Lyngby 1-2 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
10.07.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 0-3 Hillerod Hillerod HAZ
06.09.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-2 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
1-2
AWAY Hillerod
1.37 xG 0.88
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
486 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod squeezed past Lyngby 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lyngby at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Lyngby had 59% of the ball to Hillerod's 41%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.37 to 0.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lyngby.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Lyngby and 1.40 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs Hillerod?

Lyngby 1-2 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 58%, draw 22%, Hillerod 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyngby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyngby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
3 May 2026
14:00 Kolding IF vs Hvidovre Analysis →