Hillerod 1-3 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.69
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.9
X/1
11%
6.4
X/2
15%
4.86
X/X
16%
4.56
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
14%
3.09
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 1/X at 13.9 — our 11% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.20/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.97
+1% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +58%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
13.6 Crosses 16.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Lyngby
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.75 xG 1.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 Passes 544
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 1-0 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN1
19.08.2025 Lyngby Lyngby 1-2 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
10.07.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 0-3 Hillerod Hillerod HAZ
06.09.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-2 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
1-3
AWAY Lyngby
0.61 xG 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
273 Passes 421
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby saw off Hillerod 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Lyngby made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hillerod had 42% of the ball to Lyngby's 58%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.61 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hillerod had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hillerod and 0.75 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Lyngby?

Hillerod 1-3 Lyngby in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 32%, draw 34%, Lyngby 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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