Persik Kediri 3-2 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.20/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.15
-16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persik Kediri
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Arema Malang
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
225 Passes 244
2 Yellow Cards 0
11.01.2026 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-1 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
11.05.2025 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-3 HT 0-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
16.12.2024 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-0 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.11.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
17.09.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 0-1 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.02.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persik Kediri
3-2
AWAY Arema Malang
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Persik Kediri vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persik Kediri edged past Arema Malang 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Persik Kediri found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Persik Kediri had 36% of the ball to Arema Malang's 64%, shots finished 10-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persik Kediri had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Persik Kediri and 0.50 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of Persik Kediri vs Arema Malang?

Persik Kediri 3-2 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persik Kediri vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persik Kediri win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Persik Kediri 40%, draw 25%, Arema Malang 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persik Kediri), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persik Kediri) ✓ BTTS Yes
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