Masr 2-2 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.33
No
65%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.84
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
6.54
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.0pp
65%
BTTS No
61%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +32%
1.14/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.13
-5% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
19.6 Crosses 13.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
3W-2D-1L
AWAY El Gounah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.37 xG 0.79
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
322 Passes 186
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
11.04.2025 Masr 1-2 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
31.10.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
22.04.2024 Masr 3-0 HT 3-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
27.09.2023 El Gounah El Gounah 0-1 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
22.08.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 0-1 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
2-2
AWAY El Gounah
1.60 xG 0.53
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
450 Passes 181
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Masr vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr and El Gounah shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Masr at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Masr had 67% of the ball to El Gounah's 33%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.60 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Masr had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Masr and 0.50 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Masr vs El Gounah?

Masr 2-2 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Masr 43%, draw 31%, El Gounah 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Masr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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