Jalapa 0-0 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
55%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
55%
Away Win
50%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 54%
+18% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.27/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.26
+5% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Esteli
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
06.03.2026 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-1 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
02.02.2026 Jalapa Jalapa 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
20.10.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
07.11.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-1 HT 3-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
28.01.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
01.10.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa and Real Esteli fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Esteli at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jalapa and 1.67 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Real Esteli?

Jalapa 0-0 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 22%, draw 23%, Real Esteli 55%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
3 May 2026
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