Matagalpa 0-1 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
53%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.21
Over 2.5
65%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.55
No
34%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+5.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.7pp
66%
BTTS Yes
60%
+5.9pp
34%
BTTS No
40%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 52%
+16% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.38/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.90
+16% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Diriangen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2026 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-3 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
08.02.2026 Diriangen Diriangen 1-1 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
23.10.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 2-2 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
10.08.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-2 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
05.05.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 2-0 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
03.03.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 3-1 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matagalpa
0-1
AWAY Diriangen
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen squeezed past Matagalpa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Matagalpa had 46% of the ball to Diriangen's 54%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Matagalpa and 2.17 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Diriangen?

Matagalpa 0-1 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 24%, draw 22%, Diriangen 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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