Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shooting Stars v Nasarawa United — Team-Based Signals
Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Shooting Stars
NIJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Nasarawa United
NIJ
Shooting Stars 3-2 Nasarawa United — Actual Match Statistics
Shooting Stars edged past Nasarawa United 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Shooting Stars had 61% of the ball to Nasarawa United's 39%, shots finished 10-14.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Shooting Stars and 0.80 for Nasarawa United.
What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
Shooting Stars 3-2 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 63%, draw 24%, Nasarawa United 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.