Shooting Stars 2-0 Nasarawa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.7pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.5pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 17%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.76/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.36
+10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nasarawa United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.09.2024 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
03.04.2022 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-0 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
20.03.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars beat Nasarawa United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shooting Stars and 1.00 for Nasarawa United.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?

Shooting Stars 2-0 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 52%, draw 30%, Nasarawa United 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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