Ikorodu City 4-1 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
2.16/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.48
+50% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ikorodu City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kano Pillars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
08.09.2024 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 3-0 HT 0-0 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City NIJ
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City ran out comfortable winners over Kano Pillars 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ikorodu City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars?

Ikorodu City 4-1 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 50%, draw 31%, Kano Pillars 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ikorodu City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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