Akwa United 1-1 Lobi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akwa United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -19%
1.59/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.82
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akwa United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Lobi Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2024 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
10.12.2023 Akwa United Akwa United 1-0 HT 1-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
09.01.2022 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
28.03.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 3-0 HT 3-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
POST-MATCH Akwa United vs Lobi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akwa United and Lobi Stars shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Akwa United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Akwa United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Akwa United and 0.25 for Lobi Stars.

What was the final score of Akwa United vs Lobi Stars?

Akwa United 1-1 Lobi Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akwa United vs Lobi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akwa United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Akwa United 53%, draw 27%, Lobi Stars 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Akwa United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akwa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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