Bayelsa United 4-1 Sunshine Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.45/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.49
-1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sunshine Stars
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2024 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 3-0 HT 1-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
07.04.2024 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Sunshine Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United cruised past Sunshine Stars 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayelsa United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sunshine Stars led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bayelsa United and 2.00 for Sunshine Stars.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Sunshine Stars?

Bayelsa United 4-1 Sunshine Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Sunshine Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 56%, draw 23%, Sunshine Stars 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayelsa United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
29 Jan 2025
18:00 Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars Analysis →
18:00 Remo Stars vs Abia Warriors Analysis →
18:00 Akwa United vs Lobi Stars Analysis →
19:30 Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United Analysis →