Nasarawa United 1-0 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.8pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.55/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.19
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Shooting Stars
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.01.2025 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-0 HT 1-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
08.09.2024 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
03.04.2022 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-0 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
20.03.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
1-0
AWAY Shooting Stars
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United nicked a narrow win over Shooting Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nasarawa United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 53% of the ball to Shooting Stars's 47%, shots finished 19-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shooting Stars led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nasarawa United and 1.00 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Shooting Stars?

Nasarawa United 1-0 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 56%, draw 29%, Shooting Stars 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasarawa United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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