Katsina United 0-1 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.82/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.02
+31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bendel Insurance
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.02.2025 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 1-0 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
15.09.2024 Katsina United Katsina United 2-1 HT 1-1 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katsina United
0-1
AWAY Bendel Insurance
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance nicked a narrow win over Katsina United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Katsina United carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Katsina United had 36% of the ball to Bendel Insurance's 64%, shots finished 11-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Katsina United and 1.00 for Bendel Insurance.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Bendel Insurance?

Katsina United 0-1 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 55%, draw 24%, Bendel Insurance 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Katsina United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katsina United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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