Uniao De Leiria 0-3 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 3 May 2026

Uniao De Leiria
0-3 HT 0-1
Farense
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Uniao De Leiria vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.54 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uniao De Leiria v Farense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
1.62/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.38
+23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses 19.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Uniao De Leiria vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Farense
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.90 xG 1.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
243 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2025 Farense Farense 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
28.04.2002 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 4-1 HT 2-1 Farense Farense POR
22.12.2001 Farense Farense 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
18.03.2001 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-0 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR
22.10.2000 Farense Farense 1-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR

Uniao De Leiria 0-3 Farense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
0-3
AWAY Farense
1.16 xG 2.65
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
351 Passes 182
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Uniao De Leiria vs Farense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Farense ran out comfortable winners over Uniao De Leiria 3-0 away from home in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 3 May 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 62% of the ball to Farense's 38%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.16 to 2.65.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 0.40 for Farense.

What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Farense?

Uniao De Leiria 0-3 Farense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 52%, draw 26%, Farense 22%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Uniao De Leiria), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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