Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paços De Ferreira v CD Feirense — Team-Based Signals
Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Paços De Ferreira
POK
Paços De Ferreira 1-2 CD Feirense — Actual Match Statistics
CD Feirense squeezed past Paços De Ferreira 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Paços De Ferreira at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 49% of the ball to CD Feirense's 51%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 0.88 to 2.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CD Feirense's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Feirense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 0.83 for CD Feirense.
What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense?
Paços De Ferreira 1-2 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 44%, draw 26%, CD Feirense 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.