CD Feirense 0-1 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.51
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.27/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.66
+20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.8 Crosses 16.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.21 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
244 Passes 329
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-2 HT 0-2 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
16.09.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-0 HT 2-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
26.02.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
01.10.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
19.12.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POK
29.01.2018 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
0-1
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
1.88 xG 1.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
229 Passes 165
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira squeezed past CD Feirense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Feirense at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CD Feirense had 59% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 41%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.88 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Feirense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Feirense and 0.67 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Paços De Ferreira?

CD Feirense 0-1 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 53%, draw 27%, Paços De Ferreira 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Feirense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
20 Dec 2025
17:00 Chaves vs Portimonense Analysis →
18:30 Vizela vs Academico Viseu Analysis →