Chaves vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Chaves
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
Chaves 0-1 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense nicked a narrow win over Chaves 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Chaves carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Chaves had 65% of the ball to Portimonense's 35%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.36 to 0.87 — on chances, Chaves could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chaves and 1.17 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Portimonense?
Chaves 0-1 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Chaves 59%, draw 22%, Portimonense 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chaves) went the other way.