Chaves vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Chaves
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Chaves
POR
Chaves 2-0 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves saw off Portimonense 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chaves as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Chaves had 55% of the ball to Portimonense's 45%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.96 to 0.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chaves and 1.17 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Portimonense?
Chaves 2-0 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chaves 52%, draw 26%, Portimonense 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.