Paços De Ferreira vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paços De Ferreira v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Paços De Ferreira vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 4-0
Tondela
POR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Tondela
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR
2-3
HT 2-2
Paços De Ferreira
POR
Paços De Ferreira 0-1 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela edged past Paços De Ferreira 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tondela as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 55% of the ball to Tondela's 45%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.66 to 1.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.17 for Tondela.
What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Tondela?
Paços De Ferreira 0-1 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 29%, draw 28%, Tondela 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.