Portimonense vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portimonense v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Portimonense vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Chaves
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Chaves
POR
2-0
HT 2-0
Portimonense
POR
Portimonense 1-2 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves nicked a narrow win over Portimonense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Chaves made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Portimonense had 45% of the ball to Chaves's 55%, shots finished 5-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portimonense and 1.33 for Chaves.
What was the final score of Portimonense vs Chaves?
Portimonense 1-2 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 31%, draw 31%, Chaves 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.