Felgueiras 1932 1-2 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 30%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.15/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.44
-45% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 20.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1-2
AWAY Torreense
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense squeezed past Felgueiras 1932 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Torreense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 54% of the ball to Torreense's 46%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Torreense?

Felgueiras 1932 1-2 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 38%, draw 29%, Torreense 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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