Alverca 4-2 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.25/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.49
+8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
4-2
AWAY Vizela
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Alverca vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca beat Vizela 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Alverca made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alverca had 42% of the ball to Vizela's 58%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Alverca vs Vizela?

Alverca 4-2 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alverca vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alverca 36%, draw 26%, Vizela 37%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vizela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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