Uniao De Leiria 1-0 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 37% vs market 31.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.57/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.30
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
0W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Feirense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.16 xG 0.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
389 Passes 360
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-0 HT 1-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
30.12.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
29.04.2012 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 0-4 HT 0-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
18.12.2011 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-1 HT 1-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
1-0
AWAY CD Feirense
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Uniao De Leiria vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria squeezed past CD Feirense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Uniao De Leiria made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 62% of the ball to CD Feirense's 38%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CD Feirense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 2.00 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs CD Feirense?

Uniao De Leiria 1-0 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 39%, draw 31%, CD Feirense 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao De Leiria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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