Ratchaburi 6-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.61/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.56
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
22.4 Crosses 12.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Rayong FC
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.21 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
357 Passes 276
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2025 Rayong FC 2-4 HT 0-2 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
22.02.2025 Rayong FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
05.10.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-0 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
6-1
AWAY Rayong FC
3.96 xG 1.40
63% Ball Possession 37%
30 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
497 Passes 275
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
55 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi ran out comfortable winners over Rayong FC 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ratchaburi as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 63% of the ball to Rayong FC's 37%, shots finished 30-11, expected goals 3.96 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ratchaburi had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.00 for Rayong FC.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC?

Ratchaburi 6-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 61%, draw 20%, Rayong FC 20%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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