Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Portland Hearts of Pine v New York Cosmos — Team-Based Signals
Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1 New York Cosmos — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine beat New York Cosmos 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portland Hearts of Pine as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. At 1.67 (~60%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Under the surface, possession split 50% to 50% in Portland Hearts of Pine's favour, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.30 to 1.28.
Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos Result & Final Score
Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1 New York Cosmos in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 52%, draw 25%, New York Cosmos 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.