Naples 0-3 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.51
Over
37%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.0
No
56%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
35%
4-5
13%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
25%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Naples The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville The Market 34%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.20 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.44
0.83 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.21
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.8 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naples
0W-1D-2L
AWAY One Knoxville
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.50 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
263 Passes 323
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-0 HT 0-0 Naples Naples USL1
28.08.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-0 HT 0-0 Naples Naples USL1
20.04.2025 Naples Naples 0-1 HT 0-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
0-3
AWAY One Knoxville
1.35 xG 1.61
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
359 Passes 174
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 16
37 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Naples vs One Knoxville
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

One Knoxville made light work of Naples 3-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

The model refused to pick a side here (37% / 37% / 26%); One Knoxville picked one for it. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

By the numbers, possession split 65% to 35% in Naples's favour, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.35 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, One Knoxville led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.00 a game for Naples against 0.67 for One Knoxville.

Naples vs One Knoxville Result & Final Score

Naples 0-3 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Naples vs One Knoxville Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Naples 37%, draw 37%, One Knoxville 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/37/26) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
3 May 2026
00:00 Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos Analysis →
02:30 Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence Analysis →
02:30 Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison Analysis →
03:00 Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph Analysis →
03:30 Corpus Christi vs Spokane Velocity Analysis →
04:00 Athletic Club Boise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Analysis →