Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.46/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.29
-9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
20.8 Crosses 14.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.91 xG 0.87
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
244 Passes 374
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
09.11.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
18.10.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
14.09.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
06.04.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.08.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.01 xG 1.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
297 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello and Deportivo La Guaira couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 49% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 51%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.01 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.33 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 52%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Guaira 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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