03/07/2024
·
22:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Angostura FC vs Fundacion Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
32%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
27%
Draw
26%
16%
Away Win
18%
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
58%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Angostura FC v Fundacion — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Angostura FC
EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fundacion
EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
4
323 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
320 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Angostura FC vs Fundacion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Angostura FC ran out comfortable winners over Fundacion 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Angostura FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Fundacion?
Angostura FC 3-0 Fundacion in the VENK on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Fundacion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Angostura FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 57%, draw 27%, Fundacion 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angostura FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Angostura FC)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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VENK
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3 Jul 2024