Fundacion Lara 2-3 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fundacion Lara EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fundacion Lara
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.06.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 Fundacion Lara VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fundacion Lara
2-3
AWAY Portuguesa FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fundacion Lara vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC nicked a narrow win over Fundacion Lara 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portuguesa FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fundacion Lara had 48% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 52%, shots finished 21-16.

What was the final score of Fundacion Lara vs Portuguesa FC?

Fundacion Lara 2-3 Portuguesa FC in the VENK on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fundacion Lara vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fundacion Lara 29%, draw 28%, Portuguesa FC 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portuguesa FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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