Estudiantes 3-2 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
21.06.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
3-2
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes squeezed past Hermanos Colmenarez 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Estudiantes had 51% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 49%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Estudiantes 3-2 Hermanos Colmenarez in the VENK on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 40%, draw 31%, Hermanos Colmenarez 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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