Nueva Esparta 1-2 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 3 Jul 2024

Nueva Esparta
1-2
UCV
📅03/07/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
VENK – 2025

Nueva Esparta vs UCV Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nueva Esparta v UCV — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Esparta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Nueva Esparta vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV squeezed past Nueva Esparta 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UCV as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Nueva Esparta vs UCV?

Nueva Esparta 1-2 UCV in the VENK on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Esparta vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nueva Esparta 22%, draw 31%, UCV 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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