Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-2 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
38%
Draw
32%
+5.8pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.6pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 39%
+14% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.56/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.57
+74% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Bahardar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2026 Bahardar Bahardar 2-2 HT 0-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
14.05.2025 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
04.12.2024 Bahardar Bahardar 3-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
13.06.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-2 HT 0-2 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Bahardar shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 38% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bahardar led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ethiopia Nigd Bank and 1.75 for Bahardar.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-2 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 32%, draw 38%, Bahardar 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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