Luzern 1-0 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Aug 2024

Luzern
1-0 HT 0-0
Sion
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.44
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.12
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.2
X/1
15%
5.35
X/2
9%
6.46
X/X
11%
5.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.0
2/2
17%
4.06
2/X
9%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.62/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.90
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.9 Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.89 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 1-0 Sion Sion HAZ
25.05.2023 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
02.04.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
15.10.2022 Sion Sion 2-0 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
27.08.2022 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 2-0 Sion Sion İSV
11.05.2022 Sion Sion 1-3 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
1-0
AWAY Sion
1.23 xG 0.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
325 Passes 377
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern squeezed past Sion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Luzern found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Luzern had 46% of the ball to Sion's 54%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.23 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luzern and 1.17 for Sion.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Sion?

Luzern 1-0 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Luzern 40%, draw 29%, Sion 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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