Grasshoppers 0-3 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.17
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
16%
6.3
X/2
14%
5.27
X/X
11%
4.74
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
13%
3.24
2/X
7%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.17/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.31
+36% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
19.0 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Basel
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 1.12
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
258 Passes 378
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
17.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 2-1 Basel Basel İSV
09.12.2023 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
06.08.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-1 HT 3-1 Basel Basel İSV
29.05.2023 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
04.02.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
0-3
AWAY Basel
0.95 xG 1.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
338 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel ran out comfortable winners over Grasshoppers 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Grasshoppers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 55% of the ball to Basel's 45%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.95 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grasshoppers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.00 for Basel.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Basel?

Grasshoppers 0-3 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 41%, draw 26%, Basel 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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