Maitland 1-1 New Lambton FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.98
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maitland EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.54/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.66
-32% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maitland
3W-0D-0L
AWAY New Lambton FC
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.03.2024 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
27.05.2023 Maitland Maitland 4-1 HT 4-1 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNSW
11.03.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 1-9 HT 0-3 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
POST-MATCH Maitland vs New Lambton FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maitland and New Lambton FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maitland at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maitland had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Maitland and 1.00 for New Lambton FC.

What was the final score of Maitland vs New Lambton FC?

Maitland 1-1 New Lambton FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maitland vs New Lambton FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maitland win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Maitland 53%, draw 22%, New Lambton FC 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maitland), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maitland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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