Mechelen 2-4 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
15%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.09
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
13%
5.31
X/2
9%
6.53
X/X
11%
5.16
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
15%
4.13
2/X
6%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +25%
1.93/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.39
+24% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.2 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Westerlo
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.03 xG 1.79
52% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
406 Passes 382
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-2 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
13.04.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 0-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
08.03.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-1 HT 2-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
26.08.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
28.01.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
21.08.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 5-4 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
2-4
AWAY Westerlo
1.40 xG 2.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
415 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo got the better of Mechelen 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mechelen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Mechelen had 56% of the ball to Westerlo's 44%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.40 to 2.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Mechelen and 1.83 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Westerlo?

Mechelen 2-4 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 44%, draw 24%, Westerlo 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mechelen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mechelen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
3 Aug 2024
19:15 OH Leuven vs Genk Analysis →