Dila Gori 0-0 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -20%
1.57/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.00
-24% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gagra
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
03.03.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-0 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
24.11.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.09.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
24.05.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
09.04.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
0-0
AWAY Gagra
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori and Gagra played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dila Gori at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Dila Gori had 61% of the ball to Gagra's 39%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dila Gori and 0.00 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Gagra?

Dila Gori 0-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 55%, draw 26%, Gagra 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dila Gori) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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