Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
2.06/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.62
+44% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samgurali
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
02.03.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
29.10.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
25.10.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GURCK
19.08.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 5-2 HT 2-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
10.05.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
0-1
AWAY Samgurali
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samgurali edged past Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Tbilisi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 58% of the ball to Samgurali's 42%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.33 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 43%, draw 27%, Samgurali 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ BTTS No
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