O Higgins 1-0 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Higgins EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.24/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.34
-31% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.6 Crosses 16.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Higgins
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 259
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-2 HT 1-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
29.08.2024 O Higgins O Higgins 1-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.04.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-3 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
01.10.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
17.04.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-1 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
14.09.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 2-2 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Higgins
1-0
AWAY Union La Calera
0.85 xG 0.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 7
260 Passes 261
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH O Higgins vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Higgins nicked a narrow win over Union La Calera 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had O Higgins as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, O Higgins had 49% of the ball to Union La Calera's 51%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.85 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Higgins had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for O Higgins and 1.33 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of O Higgins vs Union La Calera?

O Higgins 1-0 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Higgins vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Higgins win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split O Higgins 49%, draw 25%, Union La Calera 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (O Higgins) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (O Higgins) ✗ BTTS Yes
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