Sporting Charleroi 1-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 Aug 2025

Sporting Charleroi
1-1 HT 1-1
St. Truidense
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Sporting Charleroi vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.71
1/2
4%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
15%
4.88
X/2
8%
7.57
X/X
15%
4.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.05
2/2
10%
5.34
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.05 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Charleroi v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.73/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.59
-14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.9 Crosses 13.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Sporting Charleroi vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 Passes 409
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.12.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
03.08.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-4 HT 0-4 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
23.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
03.09.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
26.02.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
15.10.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi and St. Truidense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.00 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs St. Truidense?

Sporting Charleroi 1-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 50%, draw 27%, St. Truidense 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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