Genk 1-1 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.18
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
24%
4.45
X/2
7%
9.44
X/X
8%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.95
2/2
8%
6.93
2/X
7%
14.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+3.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -15%
2.15/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.74
+1% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.3 Crosses 14.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.88 xG 1.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
407 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
23.04.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
26.12.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-2 HT 2-1 Genk Genk BEL
03.11.2024 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
20.05.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
06.04.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
1-1
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.57 xG 0.46
73% Ball Possession 27%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
643 Passes 187
91% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk and Royal Antwerp couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Genk carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Genk had 73% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 27%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.57 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Genk and 0.67 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Genk vs Royal Antwerp?

Genk 1-1 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Genk 58%, draw 20%, Royal Antwerp 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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