Union Saint-Gilloise 5-0 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 Aug 2025

Union Saint-Gilloise
5-0 HT 2-0
OH Leuven
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.61
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
19.1
X/1
23%
3.78
X/2
3%
15.85
X/X
6%
6.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
22.2
2/2
7%
13.75
2/X
5%
22.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.2 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
69%
+0.7pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.5pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Saint-Gilloise v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.14/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.22
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.7 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
5W-1D-0L
AWAY OH Leuven
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.06 xG 0.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 332
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.01.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
24.11.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
02.03.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
12.08.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 5-1 HT 2-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
21.01.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
01.10.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-3 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL

Union Saint-Gilloise 5-0 OH Leuven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
5-0
AWAY OH Leuven
2.88 xG 0.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 7
286 Passes 247
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise swept aside OH Leuven 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 52% of the ball to OH Leuven's 48%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.88 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.33 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

Union Saint-Gilloise 5-0 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 69%, draw 17%, OH Leuven 14%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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