Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Jan 2025

Union Saint-Gilloise
1-0 HT 1-0
OH Leuven
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.85
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.55
X/1
15%
3.76
X/2
6%
12.0
X/X
11%
5.84
2/1
10%
22.55
2/2
7%
10.35
2/X
7%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Saint-Gilloise v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
2.01/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.86
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.8 Crosses 12.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
5W-1D-0L
AWAY OH Leuven
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.15 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
337 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
02.03.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
12.08.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 5-1 HT 2-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
21.01.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
01.10.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-3 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
11.03.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-4 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 OH Leuven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
1-0
AWAY OH Leuven
2.69 xG 0.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
369 Passes 386
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise edged past OH Leuven 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 49% of the ball to OH Leuven's 51%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.69 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Saint-Gilloise's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.50 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 58%, draw 24%, OH Leuven 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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