Royal Antwerp 3-2 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
13%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.59
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.35
X/1
11%
4.9
X/2
10%
7.83
X/X
12%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
21.7
2/2
12%
5.36
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.97/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.88
+1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.3 Crosses 14.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Westerlo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 0.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
445 Passes 297
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
23.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-2 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
15.09.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 0-3 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
27.12.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 3-3 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
04.09.2022 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
28.10.2021 Westerlo Westerlo 2-1 HT 2-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
3-2
AWAY Westerlo
1.34 xG 2.17
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 3
529 Passes 277
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp nicked a narrow win over Westerlo 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Royal Antwerp as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 63% of the ball to Westerlo's 37%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.34 to 2.17 — on chances, Westerlo could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.33 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Westerlo?

Royal Antwerp 3-2 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 49%, draw 23%, Westerlo 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royal Antwerp), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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