St. Truidense 1-2 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.28
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.15
X/1
19%
4.46
X/2
10%
9.11
X/X
11%
5.12
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
11%
6.93
2/X
5%
14.5
Value flag · 1/X at 13.15 — our 12% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.73/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.83
-15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.3 Crosses 11.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
440 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
27.04.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
12.04.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-3 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
27.12.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
30.07.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
06.01.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege edged past St. Truidense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Truidense at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Truidense and 1.33 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Standard Liege?

St. Truidense 1-2 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 45%, draw 29%, Standard Liege 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Truidense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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